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The NFL STML strategy looks for matchups where the underdog has a higher than average likelihood of winning outright
Average Yearly Return: 40.7%
Average Bets/Year: 17.2
Average Odds/Bet: +217
Strategy Sharpe Ratio: 1.67
The NFL STML Strategy runs from Week 1 to Week 7 of the NFL Season. Picks for upcoming games will be distributed via email shortly after lines open. In order to realize the potential profitability of the strategy, we highly recommend placing every bet given by the strategy at the given line. Failure to do so will likely increase the chance of lower returns. Purchasing the Next Season Subscription grants access to all picks taken by the strategy for next season.
Please read the following Terms of Service before making a purchase.
Have any questions? Don't hesitate to Contact Us!
| Year | Return | Wins | Bets |
| 2025 | 37.6% | 8 | 20 |
| 2024 | 73.7% | 9 | 16 |
| 2023 | 9.6% | 5 | 17 |
| 2022 | 77.6% | 11 | 20 |
| 2021 | 36.5% | 10 | 23 |
| 2020 | 34.1% | 7 | 16 |
| 2019 | 65.0% | 9 | 17 |
| 2018 | 29.7% | 9 | 23 |
| 2017 | 36.9% | 6 | 12 |
| 2016 | 50.7% | 10 | 21 |
| 2015 | 23.1% | 4 | 9 |
| 2014 | 14.4% | 5 | 12 |
*Stated returns are model returns for the strategy's latest update on 1/1/26. Past performance is not indicative of future results. All return metrics do not incorporate tax implications.