NFL STML Strategy
The NFL STML strategy looks for matchups where the underdog has a higher than average likelihood of winning outright
Key Metrics
Average Yearly Return: 40.7%
Average Bets/Year: 17.2
Average Odds/Bet: +217
Strategy Sharpe Ratio: 1.67
Access Strategy Picks
The NFL STML Strategy runs from Week 1 to Week 7 of the NFL Season. Picks for upcoming games will be distributed via email shortly after lines open. The historical results of our strategies were determined using a fixed unit size for each bet placed at the opening line, so we highly suggest doing the same for every pick taken. Purchasing the Next Season Subscription grants access to all picks taken by the strategy for next season.
Please read the following Terms of Service before making a purchase.
The strategy is currently closed to new subscribers.
Have any questions? Don't hesitate to Contact Us!
Yearly Results
| Year | Return | Wins | Bets |
| 2025 | 37.6% | 8 | 20 |
| 2024 | 73.7% | 9 | 16 |
| 2023 | 9.6% | 5 | 17 |
| 2022 | 77.6% | 11 | 20 |
| 2021 | 36.5% | 10 | 23 |
| 2020 | 34.1% | 7 | 16 |
| 2019 | 65.0% | 9 | 17 |
| 2018 | 29.7% | 9 | 23 |
| 2017 | 36.9% | 6 | 12 |
| 2016 | 50.7% | 10 | 21 |
| 2015 | 23.1% | 4 | 9 |
| 2014 | 14.4% | 5 | 12 |
*Stated returns are model returns for the strategy's latest update on 1/1/26. Past performance is not indicative of future results. All return metrics do not incorporate tax implications.